Is a war between Israel and Hezbollah likely in 2021?

The recent IDF Military Intelligence Directorate’s annual threat-assessment report for 2021 has warned that Hezbollah may in 2021 initiate skirmishes or provocations, intended to be limited in time and scope, which however may spiral into war. Of course, such predictions may well prove to be wrong, and indeed making such predictions publicly can actually be a step in helping to prevent such a situation from developing. At the same time, Israel is taking actions to deal with a possible conflict with Hezbollah in the near future.

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